Showing posts with label death. Show all posts
Showing posts with label death. Show all posts

Thursday, June 5, 2014

On the Tacloban Declaration: A simple message with hint / clue for ‪#‎ASEM‬ Manila


The ‪#‎Tacloban‬ experience of ‪#‎Haiyan‬ / ‪#‎Yolanda‬ is both challenging and fraught with danger. Within the context of a world community slowly becoming more aware of the diminishing validity of certain combines that still keep going through the very same motions of guiding and leading this planet's population into their perceived state of well being.

It cannot be overemphasized that the new normal will have to incorporate the very resources with which to nourish disaster preparedness, risk prevention and response. In the Tacloban experience, many governments opted to donate directly to a lot of towns outside of Tacloban and if possible, in an incognito manner whereas it is public knowledge in that area that more or less tens of thousands died in the Tacloban tragedy and only measly 20s or 50s or a few hundreds perished in the other places.

Months after #Yolanda, the stench of death still hang in the air, no one will be able to contest that. How many in Tacloban and in the provinces hit got their lives back really in terms of power supply, food, children being able to go back to their classrooms, people getting back to their livelihood... a terrible statistic to swallow but the reality is there, glaring and accusing.

For some, the acceptable assumption was to provide succor to those people that were supposedly left behind in the gargantuan efforts to resuscitate Tacloban. However the resulting product was the opposite of those altruistic intentions. When fires started happening in the United Nations donated tent homes, the predicament of a people who were said to be receiving the lion's share of disaster and humanitarian aid became exposed to one and all. Thousands still living in tents long after the calamity and to be honest, not only the fires but scores of other causes kept killing the survivors. It was not a blessing for some to have survived. In the throes of death post-disaster, they should have been thinking what a curse to have lived through all that bedlam and sham.

All the fanfare about construction projects getting bogged down by corruption, complaints at the highest levels by rehabilitation managers of the stiff resistance of key national leaders to pushing the disaster-hit locality towards fuller and better recovery was not just hype. These were real circumstance that were happening as if the nonchalance and cold treatment of the early days of post-#Yolanda were not enough.

That the Taclobanons have not really been truly helped, but have instead become the butt of too much aggrandizement and enrichment by some sectors, the shameless public infighting within the public sector, the frustration of many who have the real desire to be of help not out of great and grand ideas but out of new approaches and ways of dealing with old problems that have never been fully understood is the loss of the world community.

In the end, the cliches and all the damned rhetoric will apply, indeed it will not just be #Haiyan, or other much vaunted mega disasters like Japan's. But cliches and rhetoric do not help and lighten the day for the victims in Tacloban and elsewhere that there was real catastrophe and not sheer descriptions in paper and oratory.

What it cannot be helped to be preached is that with the people of the world shifting their own personal paradigms, isn't it clear enough that the leaders attending ASEM and future other events like this try at least to go with the flow?

For true leaders at heart, it is really sad to be clearly left behind, albeit still talking and writing voluminous diaries of things past and future, holding on to spoils and many other things unpleasant. That's the danger.

Shifting gears and getting hands really, really dirty might get the rehabilitation and resurging development in Tacloban clearly going in more truer terms. That is the real challenge and heaven not forbid, it might even cleanse some soul...

Clue #1:

A Philippine scientist and a Russian counterpart argued who among them had the lowest salary and worst treatment in the world.

Clue #2 - 400:

Please find out for yourself, it might just be right beside you.

Saturday, December 28, 2013

Repost - Forecasting

The Philippines:
Forecasting with confidence

Self-doubting prophecy

For nearly five years ago today, it was suggested to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) to enhance its satellite capability instead of simply getting hand-me-down issuances from UN OOSA (United Nations Outer Space Affairs and the NOAA (United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) and the other geospatial information and intelligence agencies all over the world.

At a certain point in time around the period of the occurrence of the devastation by tropical storm Ketsana (Ondoy) in the Philippines, the PAGASA was clamoring for the purchase and installation of its Doppler radar system, an outmoded and unreliable system for weather forecasting.

In 2010, all throughout the government circuit, the company of Mr. Philip King called AAA, went on a lecture-presentation effort to sell the sensing and image capture technology developed by a Malaysian scientist and technology specialist who was also engaged in a similar high technology, extensive venture for the government of Canada, among other countries.

Had the Department of Science and Technology considered using a network of sensing stations with clear-photo capture capability on a 1-camera-per-station (or possibly a cluster of cameras), weather forecasting in the country, aided with charity hand-outs from NOAA, UNOOSA, the European Union, among other satellite capable agencies, will definitely be more precise at the same time vivid and viewable in real time.

It was foreseen in this site that absolutely nothing will be allowed by Typhoon Ketsana (Ondoy) to block its path. As early as the morning of the raging of this typhoon that PAGASA decided to merely attribute the powerful rains and killer floods to monsoons, it was already the consensus among the advocates that started this site that many people will die by Ketsana (Ondoy). More > >

Tuesday, December 3, 2013

Forecasting with more confidence, issuing warning

By saner standards, in a span of less than two years, it is possible to modernize the PAGASA, PHIVOLCS of the Department of Science and Technology (DOST) and the attached agencies of Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) that are now supposedly doing hazards mapping to increase their capacity to be able to tell the public with adequate confidence about the best course of action to take before another devastating calamity threatens their personal and loved ones' safety and avoid the tremendous loss of lives that recently happened with Super Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda).

The article below shows how the unconfident forecasting about the super typhoon may no longer be done in the future so as not to let a forecastable calamity unnecessary claim the precious lives of thousands of victims - Filipinos or foreigners alike. It is believed that the perhaps, one thing that could have saved the lives of many of the victims was trust. A solid trust in the forecasts and faith in the public warnings.

Helpless casualties

Before there could have been trust from the people, there should have been real certainty and conviction in the first place. That is what needs to be drummed into the people in our weather bureau and the earthquake sensing, among other forecasting agencies in the government. After all, with the money the taxpayers are paying to sustain them and give them enormous opportunities for self-growth through numerous continuing education benefits, foreign travels, among many other privileges the people in these agencies should be paying back the public with at least better and more sincere service.

Without the modernization, it is sad to issue the advance forecast, that we're all really dead.

The Story of the Haiyan Forecasting Fiasco

Over the more than a week we have been engaged in preparing a paper on the subject of Philippine forecasting with higher level of confidence. The paper is due to be published soon. Due to the timid and shy forecasting by the Philippine government, thousands of helpless victims lay dead floating in the seas off Tacloban and other towns as well as littering the streets in many areas devastated by Super Typhoon #Haiyan codenamed #Yolanda.

Below are samples of the Severe Storm Warnings by the National Disaster Risk Reduction Management Council (NDRRMC) that were prepared with the data generated by the Philippine weather bureau:

Thursday, 07 November 2013 00:57
NDRRMC Update and Advisory re Severe Weather Bulletin for Typhoon YOLANDA (HAIYAN)
Attachments:

[issued on 09 November 2013, 3:30PM]256 Kb
Download this file (NDRRMC Advisory re SWB no. 12 (final) for TY Yolanda, 9 Nov 2013.pdf)NDRRMC Advisory re SWB No.12 (FINAL) for Typhoon YOLANDA (HAIYAN)[issued on 09 November 2013, 3:30PM]265 Kb
Download this file (NDRRMC Update re SWB for TY Yolanda, 9 Nov 2013, 11AM.pdf)NDRRMC Update re SWB No.11 for Typhoon YOLANDA (HAIYAN)[issued on 09 November 2013, 11:00AM]279 Kb
Download this file (NDRRMC Advisory re SWB for TY Yolanda, 9 Nov 2013, 11AM.pdf)NDRRMC Advisory re SWB No.11 for Typhoon YOLANDA (HAIYAN)[issued on 09 November 2013, 11:00AM]289 Kb
Download this file (NDRRMC Update - WB10 re TY Yolanda.pdf)NDRRMC Update re SWB No.10 for Typhoon YOLANDA (HAIYAN)[issued on 09 November 2013, 5:00AM]924 Kb
Download this file (NDRRMC Advisory - WB10 re TY Yolanda.pdf)NDRRMC Advisory re SWB No.10 for Typhoon YOLANDA (HAIYAN)[issued on 09 November 2013, 5:00AM]964 Kb
Download this file (NDRRMC Update - WB9 re TY Yolanda.pdf)NDRRMC Update re SWB No.9 for Typhoon YOLANDA (HAIYAN)[issued on 08 November 2013, 11:00PM]283 Kb
Download this file (NDRRMC Advisory - WB9 re TY Yolanda.pdf)NDRRMC Advisory re SWB No.9 for Typhoon YOLANDA (HAIYAN)[issued on 08 November 2013, 11:00PM]294 Kb
Download this file (updswb8.pdf)NDRRMC Update re SWB No.8 for Typhoon YOLANDA (HAIYAN)[issued on 08 November 2013, 5:00PM]400 Kb
Download this file (advswb8.pdf)NDRRMC Advisory re SWB No.8 for Typhoon YOLANDA (HAIYAN)[issued on 08 November 2013, 5:00PM]417 Kb
Download this file (updswb7.pdf)NDRRMC Update re SWB No.7 for Typhoon YOLANDA (HAIYAN)[issued on 08 November 2013, 11:00AM]390 Kb
Download this file (advswb7.pdf)NDRRMC Advisory re SWB No.7 for Typhoon YOLANDA (HAIYAN)[issued on 08 November 2013, 11:00AM]387 Kb
Download this file (Update SWB No.6 re TY YOLANDA 5AM.pdf)NDRRMC Update re SWB No.6 for Typhoon YOLANDA (HAIYAN)[issued on 08 November 2013, 5:00AM]1202 Kb
Download this file (Advisory SWB No.6 re TY YOLANDA 5AM.pdf)NDRRMC Update re SWB No.6 for Typhoon YOLANDA (HAIYAN)









Sunday, September 22, 2013

Potentials of Protracted War in Zamboanga City

It is forecast that the Philippine government is set to gamble on the use of military force without the consideration for striking a settlement with the Moro National Liberation Front - MNLF, in Zamboanga City. The latest situation update from the front as of past noontime, September 22, 2013 are as follows:
Investigators of the local Philippine National Police through constant monitoring of the movements and strength of the MNLF armed group inside Zamboanga City declared that there are over one hundred elements of the Bangsa Moro secessionist movement inside the City. Click here for more of this article.
If the public sector will attempt to strike a more peaceable settlement with the MNLF, a large number of individuals, groups are now prepared and waiting in the wings to help. Most of these entities do not have the right nor the mandate to interject themselves into any formal negotiations. However, these entities can intermediate between the warring government and the MNLF. It is hoped and prayed that government will listen to those that counsel peace, instead of bloodshed and war.

Sunday, September 15, 2013

Gallery of Peace Efforts: Southern Philippines 5

May 3 2008 saturation drive vs. Abu Sayyaf coinciding with a highly popular title boxing match in the U.S. In the photo below, government forces with civilian volunteers (many of them MNLF fighters) found the camp where ICRC staff Eugenio Vagni was allegedly held hostage by terrorist and criminal civilian captors.


Above, Police Col. Julasirim Kasim, Provincial Commander of Sulu Province PNP is giving final instructions and coordinating information to the raiding party. Four days following the saturation drive, Col. Kasim and several others died in the saturation drive at Maimbung, Sulu, the same site where countless officers and men of the government uniformed forces were also killed by Islamic secessionist and terrorist bands. Col. Kasim was about to celebrate his birthday and retirement from the police service. The good colonel missed his celebration.

On the other hand, a large number of Abu Sayyaf terrorists were killed during the operations at Maimbung, evidenced by the large number of firearms recovered and several days after, the substantial number of funerals reported by the villagers of Sulu Province.